Future trends of Japanese households through micro-simulation model--an application of INAHSIM.

Abstract

"INAHSIM (Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation) is a micro simulation model, which was first developed in 1984-85 by using actual initial population and a set of transition probabilities derived from vital statistics and other national sample surveys.... This paper is based on a new application of INAHSIM, where initial population of the model has been prepared by using the simulation model itself. In this way, it is confirmed that INAHSIM is applicable to countries where initial population is not available from census or national household surveys.... New simulations were executed for [Japan for] the period of 1991-2040." (SUMMARY IN JPN)