Interaksi Spasial Kondisi Sosial-Ekonomi Terhadap Kerawanan Kejahatan Di Kota Bandung (Studi Kasus Sumur Bandung)

M. Dede, Dede Sugandi, I. Setiawan
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Crime is an unplanned change due to the process of urban development. The geographical approach is able to analyze spatial interactions of criminogenic factors into crime phenomenon. This study aims to explain the spatial interaction between socio-economic conditions and crime risk in Bandung City. The crime risk is obtained through Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) method based on The Annual Crime Data from Bandung Police Department, whereas the socio-economic condition data is revealed from interview and questioner with 176 respondents who determined by multistage random sampling in 37 hamlets. Variable interactions are analysed based on Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) with Gaussian Distance Function type of cross validation as optimum weight. The results show the socio-economic conditions has a positive and significant effect on crime risk. This model shows that the independent variable acts as a crime attractor. Partially its known that economic conditions have a stronger interaction with crime risk than the social climate. The strongest interaction between variables are concentrated in the southern of Kebon Pisang Urban Village, precisely in the area passed by arterial roads at southern of Sumur Bandung. Crime prevention efforts are conducted using environmental interventions by the formal security personnels and strengthening the social climate of the community.
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万隆市反犯罪的社会经济状况(万隆案例研究)
犯罪是城市发展过程中的一种计划外变化。地理方法能够分析犯罪因素在空间上的相互作用,从而形成犯罪现象。本研究旨在解释万隆市社会经济条件与犯罪风险的空间互动关系。基于万隆市警察局的年度犯罪数据,通过核密度估计(KDE)方法获得犯罪风险,而社会经济状况数据则是通过对37个村庄的176名受访者进行多阶段随机抽样的访谈和提问者得出的。基于地理加权回归(GWR)分析变量间的相互作用,并以交叉验证的高斯距离函数类型作为最优权重。结果表明,社会经济条件对犯罪风险有显著的正向影响。该模型表明,自变量是犯罪的吸引因素。人们部分地知道,经济状况与犯罪风险的相互作用比社会气候更强。变量之间最强的相互作用集中在Kebon Pisang城中村的南部,正是在Sumur万隆南部主干道经过的地区。预防犯罪的工作由正式保安人员采取环境干预措施,并加强社区的社会气氛。
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发文量
11
审稿时长
8 weeks
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