Dynamic analysis of reaction-diffusion dual carbon model considering economic development in China

IF 1 4区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Electronic Research Archive Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.3934/era.2023126
Yanchuang Hou, Chunyue Wei, Yuting Ding
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this paper, a reaction-diffusion dual carbon model associated with Dirichlet boundary condition is proposed under the influence of economic development in China. First, we enumerate and analyse some influencing factors of carbon emission and carbon absorption, and select economic development as the influence factor of carbon emission. Second, we establish a model associated with dual carbon and analyse the existence and stability of equilibrium and the existence of bifurcations. Finally, we analyse and predict for the value of parameters. Numerical simulations are presented to support our theory results. Combined with theoretical analysis and numerical simulations, we obtain that China can achieve carbon peak before 2030. If we want to achieve carbon neutral before 2060, it requires efforts from all of parts of society. Therefore, we put forward some practical suggestions to achieve carbon neutrality and carbon peak on schedule in China for the next few decades.
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考虑中国经济发展的反应-扩散双碳模型动态分析
本文在中国经济发展的影响下,提出了一个与Dirichlet边界条件相关的反应-扩散双碳模型。首先,我们列举和分析了碳排放和碳吸收的影响因素,并选择经济发展作为碳排放的影响因素。其次,我们建立了一个与双碳相关的模型,并分析了平衡的存在性和稳定性以及分岔的存在性。最后,对各参数的取值进行了分析和预测。数值模拟支持了我们的理论结果。结合理论分析和数值模拟,得出中国可以在2030年前达到碳峰值。如果我们想在2060年之前实现碳中和,就需要社会各方面的努力。因此,我们提出了中国未来几十年如期实现碳中和和碳峰值的一些切实可行的建议。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
12.50%
发文量
170
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