Advanced Models Applied for the Elaboration of Landslide-Prone Maps, a Review

Téhrrie König, H. Kux, A. Corsi
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Landslides are a natural phenomenon that happens all around the world. When happening in urban areas they become a disaster, disrupting the life-style of a community or society. Human losses, social impacts, and structural damage are some of the landslide’s effects. The current climate variability shows an increase in extreme weather conditions, either with long periods of drought or heavy and long-term rainfall. In Brazil, landslides are one of the deadliest disasters; they are usually preceded and triggered by heavy rainfall and already have affected more than 4 million people. Moreover, with the population growth, areas with high declivities have been occupied and turned into urban areas. Those people living there are vulnerable to suffering from landslides, losing their homes, and in extreme cases, losing their life. The identification and monitoring of landslide-prone areas are crucial to avoid disasters. Several advanced models, with different approaches, were developed to identify the landslide-prone areas. Aiming to decide the model that provides more satisfactory results, this paper presents a literature review of the applicability and limitations of three advanced models. The three models are Sinmap, Shalstab and TRIGRS. The analysis determined that all three models are adequate for stability management in slope areas. Moreover, TRIGRS results are more accurate than Shalstab, and the Sinmap model provides an over-estimation of landslide-prone areas.
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应用于滑坡易发图制作的先进模型研究进展
山体滑坡是世界各地都会发生的自然现象。当发生在城市地区时,它们就会成为一场灾难,扰乱社区或社会的生活方式。人员损失、社会影响和结构破坏是山体滑坡的一些影响。当前的气候变率表明,极端天气条件有所增加,要么是长期干旱,要么是长期强降雨。在巴西,山体滑坡是最致命的灾害之一;它们通常是由强降雨引发的,已经影响了400多万人。此外,随着人口的增长,高倾斜度的地区已经被占领并变成了城市地区。那些生活在那里的人很容易遭受山体滑坡,失去家园,在极端情况下,失去生命。识别和监测滑坡易发地区对避免灾害至关重要。几个先进的模型,采用不同的方法,以确定滑坡易发地区。为了确定更令人满意的模型,本文对三种先进模型的适用性和局限性进行了文献综述。这三种模型分别是Sinmap、Shalstab和TRIGRS。分析表明,这三种模型都适合于边坡地区的稳定管理。此外,TRIGRS的结果比Shalstab更准确,而singmap模型对滑坡易发地区的估计过高。
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