Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power

Q3 Arts and Humanities Parameters Pub Date : 2012-09-22 DOI:10.5860/choice.51-0511
John W. Coffey
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引用次数: 109

Abstract

Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power by Zbigniew Brzezinski New York: Basic Books, 2012 208 pages $26.00 [ILLUSTRATION OMITTED] Is America up or down? Will China eclipse America as the world's hegemon? What is the shape of the global landscape emerging in the twenty-first century, and how should the US chart its course in this new world? These questions of critical moment are addressed by the eminent scholar and practitioner of statecraft, Zbigniew Brzezinski, in Strategic Vision. His book invites comparison with Robert Kagan's recent work, The World America Made. While Kagan calls for a muscular defense of a historically unique liberal world order made by America, Brzezinski offers a new strategic vision for a world where American dominance is no longer attainable. According to Brzezinski, our interactive, interdependent world is marked by a shift in geopolitical power from West to East, with the rise to global preeminence of China, India, and Japan. This redistribution of power is accompanied by the mass political awakening of previously repressed peoples in the Arab world and Central or Eastern Europe. These trends portend instability, yet human survival requires global cooperation. Europe is a spent political model for the world taking shape, and US global supremacy is no longer possible. American society still appeals to the world's peoples, provided it can revitalize itself and adopt a new strategic vision. Brzezinski ascribes greater significance to the nation's domestic problems than does Kagan: a crushing national debt; a financial system driven by self-destructive greed; widening inequality; decaying infrastructure; a citizenry ignorant of the world; and a gridlocked political system. The author denounces America's Iraq and Afghanistan imperial wars and repeats the canard that President George W. Bush's global war on terrorism fostered anti-Islamic sentiment, tarnishing our international reputation. In fact, the Bush administration scrupulously tried to avoid this. On 17 September, six days after 9/11, President Bush visited the Islamic Center in Washington to assure members that America understands the vast majority of Muslims are peaceful and that we are at war with radical jihadist terrorists, not Islam. The President and his aides reaffirmed that message in numerous speeches and remarks. Surveying the world "after America," Brzezinski predicts not Chinese dominance, but instead, like Kagan, a chaotic multipolar world where several roughly equal powers compete for regional hegemony. This conflict will jeopardize international cooperation and the promotion of democracy while placing the fate of the global commons up for grabs. East and South Asia will be the flashpoints of geopolitical rivalry with Japan, India, and Russia wary of a rising China. Brzezinski states as axiomatic that the United States must avoid military involvement or, quite differently, any conflict on the mainland between rival Asian powers. The United States, he argues, should accept Beijing's preeminence on the Asian mainland and its emergence as Asia's leading economic power. We should balance this by maintaining close ties with Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Singapore, and Indonesia, as well as by cultivating cordial relations with India. Brzezinski entertains cautious optimism that continued modernization and prosperity of a peaceful rising China will foster political pluralism and make it more amenable to the international democratic mainstream. What role will America play in this new world? Brzezinski advocates enlarging the West by drawing Turkey and Russia closer to the European Union and North Atlantic Treaty Organization while balancing Asian rivalries through a cooperative partnership with China that reconciles it to its Asian neighbors. This realistic strategy, he claims, promotes a "revival of the West and facilitates the stabilization of the East within a broader cooperative framework. …
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战略视野:美国与全球权力危机
《战略视野:美国与全球权力危机》,兹比格涅夫·布热津斯基著,纽约:基础图书出版社,2012年,208页26美元中国会取代美国成为世界霸主吗?21世纪的全球格局是怎样的?在这个新世界里,美国应该如何规划自己的路线?这些关键时刻的问题是由著名的学者和治国方略实践者布热津斯基在《战略远景》一书中阐述的。他的书可以与罗伯特·卡根最近的作品《美国制造的世界》进行比较。卡根呼吁对美国创造的历史上独一无二的自由世界秩序进行有力的捍卫,而布热津斯基则提出了一个新的战略愿景,即美国的主导地位不再可能实现。根据布热津斯基的说法,我们这个互动、相互依存的世界的特点是地缘政治力量从西方转向东方,中国、印度和日本的崛起成为全球霸主。这种权力的重新分配伴随着阿拉伯世界和中欧或东欧曾经受压迫的人民的大规模政治觉醒。这些趋势预示着不稳定,但人类的生存需要全球合作。对于正在形成的世界来说,欧洲是一个过时的政治模式,而美国的全球霸权已不再可能。美国社会仍然对世界人民有吸引力,只要它能够振兴自己并采取新的战略眼光。与卡根相比,布热津斯基认为美国的国内问题更为重要:沉重的国债;一个由自我毁灭的贪婪驱动的金融体系;不断扩大的不平等;腐烂的基础设施;对世界一无所知的公民;政治体制陷入僵局。作者谴责了美国的伊拉克和阿富汗帝国战争,并重复了乔治·w·布什总统的全球反恐战争助长了反伊斯兰情绪,玷污了我们的国际声誉的谣言。事实上,布什政府小心翼翼地试图避免这种情况。9月17日,即9/11事件发生6天后,布什总统访问了华盛顿的伊斯兰中心,向成员们保证,美国理解绝大多数穆斯林是和平的,我们是在与激进的圣战恐怖分子作战,而不是与伊斯兰作战。总统及其助手在多次演讲和讲话中重申了这一信息。布热津斯基展望“美国之后”的世界,他预测的不是中国的主导地位,而是像卡根一样,一个混乱的多极世界,几个大致相当的大国争夺地区霸权。这场冲突将危及国际合作和促进民主,同时使全球公域的命运成为人们争夺的对象。东亚和南亚将成为地缘政治竞争的爆发点,日本、印度和俄罗斯对崛起的中国保持警惕。布热津斯基认为,美国必须避免军事介入,或者完全不同的是,避免亚洲敌对大国在大陆发生任何冲突,这是不言自明的。他认为,美国应该接受北京在亚洲大陆的卓越地位,以及它作为亚洲主要经济力量的崛起。我们应该通过与日本、韩国、菲律宾、新加坡和印度尼西亚保持密切关系以及与印度培养友好关系来平衡这一点。布热津斯基持谨慎乐观态度,认为一个和平崛起的中国的持续现代化和繁荣将促进政治多元化,使其更能适应国际民主主流。美国将在这个新世界中扮演什么角色?布热津斯基主张通过拉近土耳其和俄罗斯与欧盟和北大西洋公约组织的关系来扩大西方,同时通过与中国的合作伙伴关系来平衡亚洲的敌对关系,使中国与亚洲邻国和解。他声称,这种现实的战略促进了“西方的复兴,并在更广泛的合作框架内促进了东方的稳定”。...
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Parameters Social Sciences-Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
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