Alcohol-attributable mortality and alcohol control policy in the Baltic Countries and Poland in 2001-2020: an interrupted time-series analysis.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 SUBSTANCE ABUSE Substance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI:10.1186/s13011-023-00574-7
Ričardas Radišauskas, Mindaugas Štelemėkas, Janina Petkevičienė, Justina Trišauskė, Tadas Telksnys, Laura Miščikienė, Inese Gobina, Relika Stoppel, Rainer Reile, Kinga Janik-Koncewicz, Witold Zatonski, Shannon Lange, Alexander Tran, Jürgen Rehm, Huan Jiang
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Abstract

Background: The Baltic countries-Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia-are characterized by a high rate of fully alcohol-attributable mortality, compared with Poland. Alcohol control policy measures implemented since 2001 in the Baltic countries included a restriction on availability and an increase in excise taxation, among others. The aim of the current study was to evaluate the relationship between alcohol control policy implementation and alcohol-attributable mortality in the Baltic countries and Poland.

Methods: Alcohol-attributable mortality data for 2001-2020 was defined by codes 100% alcohol-attributable for persons aged 15 years and older in the Baltic countries and Poland. Alcohol control policies implemented between 2001 and 2020 were identified, and their impact on alcohol-attributable mortality was evaluated using an interrupted time-series methodology by employing a generalized additive model.

Results: Alcohol-attributable mortality was significantly higher in the Baltic countries, compared with Poland, for both males and females. In the final reduced model, alcohol control policy significantly reduced male alcohol-attributable mortality by 7.60% in the 12 months post-policy implementation. For females, the alcohol control policy mean-shift effect was higher, resulting in a significant reduction of alcohol-attributable mortality by 10.77% in the 12 months post-policy implementation. The interaction effects of countries and policy tested in the full model were not statistically significant, which indicated that the impact of alcohol control policy on alcohol-attributable mortality did not differ across countries for both males and females.

Conclusions: Based on the findings of the current study, alcohol control policy in the form of reduced availability and increased taxation was associated with a reduction in alcohol-attributable mortality among both males and females.

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2001-2020年波罗的海国家和波兰的酒精致死率和酒精控制政策:一项中断的时间序列分析。
背景:与波兰相比,波罗的海国家立陶宛、拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚的全酒精死亡率较高。自2001年以来,波罗的海国家实施的酒精控制政策措施包括限制供应和提高消费税等。本研究的目的是评估波罗的海国家和波兰的酒精控制政策实施与酒精可归因死亡率之间的关系。确定了2001年至2020年间实施的酒精控制政策,并通过使用广义加性模型,使用中断时间序列方法评估了其对酒精可归因死亡率的影响。结果:与波兰相比,波罗的海国家男性和女性的酒精致死率明显较高。在最终的减少模型中,酒精控制政策在政策实施后的12个月内将男性酒精导致的死亡率显著降低了7.60%。对于女性来说,酒精控制政策的平均转变效应更高,导致政策实施后12个月内酒精导致的死亡率显著降低10.77%。在完整模型中测试的国家和政策的交互作用在统计上并不显著,这表明酒精控制政策对酒精导致的死亡率的影响在各国男性和女性中没有差异。结论:根据目前的研究结果,酒精控制政策以减少供应和增加税收的形式与降低男性和女性的酒精死亡率有关。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
73
审稿时长
19 weeks
期刊介绍: Substance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy is an open access, peer-reviewed journal that encompasses research concerning substance abuse, with a focus on policy issues. The journal aims to provide an environment for the exchange of ideas, new research, consensus papers, and critical reviews, to bridge the established fields that share a mutual goal of reducing the harms from substance use. These fields include: legislation pertaining to substance use; correctional supervision of people with substance use disorder; medical treatment and screening; mental health services; research; and evaluation of substance use disorder programs.
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