Agricultural impacts of increased alcohol industry demand for corn: the case of Ohio

Douglas Southgate , Stephen Ott , Norman Rask , Francis Walker
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Abstract

A mathematical programming model was used to forecast the impacts on Ohio's agricultural sector of a moderate increase in alcohol industry demand for corn. Because converting corn into ethanol yields byproduct feeds that can substitute for soybean meal and other commodities, most of the alcohol industry's demand for corn can be satisfied by switching land from the production of soybeans to the production of corn. For this reason, projected levels of ethanol production do not greatly affect crop or livestock prices. This finding is likely to hold for other corn-growing areas in North America.

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酒精行业对玉米需求增加对农业的影响:以俄亥俄州为例
使用数学规划模型预测酒精行业对玉米需求的适度增长对俄亥俄州农业部门的影响。由于将玉米转化为乙醇产生的副产品饲料可以替代豆粕和其他商品,因此酒精行业对玉米的大部分需求可以通过将土地从大豆生产转为玉米生产来满足。因此,预计的乙醇生产水平不会对作物或牲畜价格产生太大影响。这一发现可能适用于北美其他玉米种植区。
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