Economic growth and cultural change

Panagiotis Petrakis, Pantelis Kostis
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引用次数: 45

Abstract

The paper contributes to the interpretation of annual growth rates based on the effect of the basic growth factors (capital, labour, human capital) and the cultural background as part of the “remaining factors”. It uses a series of variables to express these effects, which are analysed with a principal component analysis and a regression analysis, in the context of a Solow–Romer augmented growth framework. Cultural background variables are divided in two main groups: “Efficiency Orientation” and “Social Orientation” variables. We formulate the hypothesis that within the well-known growth framework “Efficiency Orientation” variables significantly affect economic growth, while “Social Orientation” influences are unpredicted in principle. The results confirm that cultural background positively affects annual growth rates. However, “Social Orientation” plays the main (positive) role. Furthermore, performing a sensitivity analysis on the cultural background, the conclusions confirm that cultural background has a strong interpretive role in annual growth rates. The deterioration of the “Social Orientation” cultural background negatively affects annual GDP growth. The paper points the crucial explanatory power of the “Social Orientation” cultural background for annual growth rates.

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经济增长与文化变革
本文有助于根据基本增长因素(资本、劳动力、人力资本)的影响和作为“剩余因素”一部分的文化背景来解释年增长率。它使用一系列变量来表达这些影响,并在Solow-Romer增强增长框架的背景下,通过主成分分析和回归分析进行分析。文化背景变量分为两大类:“效率取向”变量和“社会取向”变量。我们提出了一个假设,即在众所周知的增长框架内,“效率取向”变量显著影响经济增长,而“社会取向”的影响原则上是不可预测的。研究结果证实,文化背景对年增长率有积极影响。然而,“社会取向”起着主要的(积极的)作用。此外,对文化背景进行敏感性分析,结论证实文化背景对年增长率具有较强的解释作用。“社会取向”文化背景的恶化对年度GDP增长产生了负面影响。本文指出了“社会取向”文化背景对年增长率的重要解释力。
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