Analiza reaktivnog djelovanja bankovnog sustava EU-a kroz najavu izmjene prudencijalnog regulatornog okvira u funkciji očuvanja financijske stabilnosti

Ivica Klinac
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Abstract

The establishment of supranational banks regulatory authorities has directly contributed to a better understanding of the behaviour and impact of the banking sector on economic flows comprehensively. Institutional linkage of national regulatory bodies in the context of globalization relations contributes to the desired standardization of data, which are the basis for every valid economic analysis. The market discipline as the backbone of modern regulation reduces especially the banking firm opacity area, while on the other hand the availability of relevant databases expands the horizons of the model approach to banking sector analysis. The dominance of the same sector as a source of external financing on a common European market is the starting point in seeking solutions of emersion from stagnant pressures on economic trends. The dynamism of causative economic relationships imposes the need for ever greater reliability in data sources, hence the representativeness of the sample not only directs an individual research but also determines the cognitive process itself. The analysis of publicly available banking firm data using modern econometric tools is certainly a significant step forward in the attempt to establish a clear and transparent methodological framework for monitoring the reactive activity of the banking sector to the necessary change of regulatory terms in the function of post-crisis launch of the credit cycle. The empirical analysis of the banking sector alignment with new capital requirements will be tested in this paper on a sample of 35 banking groups operating in the EU area for the period from 2000 to 2016, selected by size of assets. The selection of the dynamic panel was performed through panel modelling analysis using Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The research results have provided evidence that the announcement of the increase in regulatory capital affects the growth of total banking assets, namely there is a significant increase in the share of non-risky assets in bank assets, while on the other hand there is a credit contraction that facilitates the regulatory requirements compliance. Finally, the management structures over the net interest margin as a credit and deposit policy instrument reallocate their own and other resources in the function of preserving the liquidity and solvency of the bank in general.
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超国家银行监管机构的建立直接有助于更好地全面了解银行业对经济流动的行为和影响。在全球化关系的背景下,国家管理机构之间的机构联系有助于实现所需的数据标准化,这是每一项有效经济分析的基础。市场纪律作为现代监管的支柱,尤其减少了银行公司不透明的领域,而另一方面,相关数据库的可用性扩大了模型方法对银行业分析的视野。在欧洲共同市场上,同一部门作为外部融资来源的主导地位,是寻求摆脱经济趋势停滞压力的解决办法的起点。因果经济关系的动态性要求数据源具有更高的可靠性,因此样本的代表性不仅指导个人研究,而且决定认知过程本身。利用现代计量经济学工具对公开获得的银行数据进行分析,无疑是朝着试图建立一个清晰透明的方法框架迈出的重要一步,该框架旨在监测银行业对监管条款在危机后启动信贷周期中的必要变化所进行的反应性活动。本文将以2000年至2016年期间在欧盟地区运营的35家银行集团(按资产规模选择)为样本,对银行业与新资本要求的一致性进行实证分析。采用广义矩量法(GMM)对面板进行建模分析,选择动力面板。研究结果证明,监管资本增加的公告影响了银行总资产的增长,即非风险资产在银行资产中的份额显著增加,而另一方面存在信贷收缩,有利于监管要求的遵守。最后,作为信贷和存款政策工具的净息差的管理结构重新配置了他们自己和其他资源,以保持银行的流动性和总体偿付能力。
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