Debris flow magnitude in the Eastern Italian Alps: data collection and analysis

V. D'Agostino , L. Marchi
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引用次数: 49

Abstract

The estimation of debris flow magnitude is essential for the assessment of debris flow hazard. Historical data are an important basis for evaluating magnitude and frequency of debris flows in a given geographical region. Data on debris flow magnitude concerning 130 basins of the Eastern Italian Alps have been collected from scientific and technical journals, technical reports and historical documents gathered from local archives and through field surveys carried out in the last few years. The analysis of collected data includes various approaches. Regression techniques were used to correlate debris flow magnitude to morphometric parameters and to geological characteristics of the basins. A comparison of historical magnitudes with geomorphic field estimations carried out in recent years is presented and the relations between debris flow magnitude and frequency for a few selected cases are analysed. Some proposals about the possible combined use of considered techniques are then suggested.

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意大利东部阿尔卑斯地区泥石流震级:数据收集与分析
泥石流震级的估计是泥石流危险性评估的关键。历史资料是评价某一地理区域泥石流震级和发生频率的重要依据。关于意大利东部阿尔卑斯地区130个盆地的泥石流规模的数据,是从科技期刊、技术报告和从当地档案收集的历史文件以及过去几年进行的实地调查中收集的。对收集到的数据的分析包括各种方法。利用回归技术将泥石流震级与地貌参数和盆地地质特征联系起来。本文将历史震级与近年来进行的地貌场估计进行了比较,并对几个选定的案例进行了泥石流震级与频率的关系分析。然后提出了一些关于可能组合使用所考虑的技术的建议。
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