Epidemic to Pandemic: Just a Matter of Time

A. Humayun, M. I. Anwar, S. Alam, U. Iqbal
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Epidemic and pandemic potential of all respiratory diseases of zoonotic origin is well known. In recent history global public health threat was inflicted by zoonotic origin infectious diseases with pandemic potential including, Ebola and Marburg haemorrhagic fevers, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), influenza A (H5N1), Middle East respiratory syndrome corona virus (MERSCoV), 1 and the recently discovered COVID-19. Change of epidemic to a pandemic is just a matter of time. A novel Corona virus 2019 (COVID-19) is appearing to be one of the rapidly transmitting diseases because of the social and economic linkages worldwide. Emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) are not new but their incidence or geographical involvement is rapidly increasing. Global temporal and spatial patterns of these emerging infections are studied well in literature concluding significant correlation of EIDs with socio-economic, environmental and ecological factors. It helps to identify regions as ‘hotspots’ for EIDs with a substantial risk of vector-borne and wildlife zoonotic emerging diseases.
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从流行病到流行病:只是时间问题
所有人畜共患呼吸道疾病的流行和大流行潜力是众所周知的。在近代史上,具有大流行潜力的人畜共患传染病造成了全球公共卫生威胁,包括埃博拉和马尔堡出血热、严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)、甲型流感(H5N1)、中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒(MERSCoV) 1和最近发现的COVID-19。流行病变成大流行只是时间问题。由于在世界范围内的社会和经济联系,2019年新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)似乎是快速传播的疾病之一。新发传染病并不新鲜,但其发病率或地域范围正在迅速增加。文献对这些新发感染的全球时空格局进行了很好的研究,得出了eid与社会经济、环境和生态因素显著相关的结论。它有助于确定具有媒介传播和野生动物共患新发疾病重大风险的eid“热点”区域。
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