The Impact Of The COVID-19 Pandemic On Foreign Trade

Daniela Nuševa, Goran Vukmirović, Radenko Marić, Nikola Macura
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Abstract

Foreign trade is one of the most important ways of including the national economy in international and regional trade flows. Regular exports and imports are considered classic foreign trade transactions, and their volume and structure is one of the basic indicators of the level of economic development. The goal of the foreign trade policy of every national economy is to achieve the highest possible degree of liberalization of its market, primarily through the removal and reduction of trade barriers. However, with the proclamation of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020, national economies have introduced various restrictions on movement, both for citizens and for businesses and their outlets. The decline in economic activity has led to the largest decline in global trade. However, international trade began to recover quickly after the initial stagnation, so it is growing today. Exports of certain countries exceeded the levels before the outbreak of the pandemic. This trend is expected to continue, although it must be noted that developed countries have adapted more easily to the current situation, while developing countries are lagging behind. For decades, the foreign trade of the Republic of Serbia has recorded a negative balance, as well as an unfavorable structure of exchange. The aim of this paper is to point out the basic trends and structure of foreign trade transactions of the Republic of Serbia before and after the pandemic, and the need to increase the share of higher processing and added value products in order to improve the country's competitive position.
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新冠肺炎疫情对外贸的影响
对外贸易是国民经济参与国际和区域贸易流动的重要方式之一。经常性进出口是典型的对外贸易交易,其规模和结构是衡量经济发展水平的基本指标之一。每个国家经济的对外贸易政策的目标都是实现其市场的最大程度自由化,主要是通过消除和减少贸易壁垒。然而,随着2020年3月宣布新冠肺炎大流行,各国经济对公民、企业及其网点实施了各种行动限制。经济活动的下降导致了全球贸易的最大降幅。然而,国际贸易在最初的停滞之后开始迅速恢复,因此今天它正在增长。某些国家的出口超过了疫情爆发前的水平。这一趋势预计将继续下去,尽管必须指出,发达国家较容易适应目前的情况,而发展中国家则落在后面。几十年来,塞尔维亚共和国的对外贸易一直是负平衡,而且是不利的交换结构。本文的目的是指出疫情前后塞尔维亚共和国外贸交易的基本趋势和结构,以及需要增加高加工和附加值产品的份额,以提高该国的竞争地位。
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