Impact of Industrialization on Household Income in Rural China, 1988-2018

IF 2.9 2区 数学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI:10.58567/jes01020002
Yuluan Chen, Qingjie Xia, Shi Li
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Abstract

This paper uses China Household Income Project rural household survey data spanning 30 years (1988-2018) to study the impact of China’s industrialization on rural household income. In the semiparametric regression model, we use the rural households’ distance to the manufacturing hub to analyze the spillover effect of industrialization on their income and the spatial attenuation. The results show that the income gap between rural households in Guangdong and other provinces increased from 1988 to 2002, but continuously decreased from 2002 to 2018; the rural households’ distance to the Pearl River Delta or the Yangtze River Delta, the two international manufacturing hubs, has a significant impact on their income, which has been increasing from 1988 to 1995, but has been decreasing since the new century. On the contrary, the influence of the rural households’ distance to the provincial capital on their income has been increasing since the new century.
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工业化对中国农村家庭收入的影响(1988-2018
本文利用中国家庭收入项目30年(1988-2018)的农户调查数据,研究中国工业化对农村家庭收入的影响。在半参数回归模型中,我们利用农户与制造业中心的距离来分析工业化对农户收入的溢出效应及其空间衰减。结果表明:1988 - 2002年广东与其他省份的农村家庭收入差距有所扩大,但2002 - 2018年持续缩小;与珠三角和长三角这两个国际制造业中心的距离对农户收入有显著影响,1988 - 1995年农户收入呈上升趋势,但新世纪以来农户收入呈下降趋势。相反,进入新世纪以来,农村家庭与省会城市的距离对其收入的影响越来越大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
6.70%
发文量
98
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (JBES) publishes a range of articles, primarily applied statistical analyses of microeconomic, macroeconomic, forecasting, business, and finance related topics. More general papers in statistics, econometrics, computation, simulation, or graphics are also appropriate if they are immediately applicable to the journal''s general topics of interest. Articles published in JBES contain significant results, high-quality methodological content, excellent exposition, and usually include a substantive empirical application.
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