THE POTENTIAL OF MACROECONOMIC FACTORS IN SHAPING THE LANDSCAPE OF TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT: A TESTIMONIAL FROM UPPER-MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES

Sadik Aden Dirir
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Abstract

Purpose – the main goal of the paper is to examine the role of macroeconomic factors in promoting the technological development of upper-middle-income countries. Research methodology – to carry on with the investigation the paper selected the expenditure in research and development as a proxy for technological advancement while GDP per capita, Final consumption expenditure, Domestic credit to the private sector, national income, and government transparency are selected as proxies for the macroeconomic indicators. Moreover, a VECM approach is performed in order to capture the long-run and short-run relationship among the variables. Additionally, a Granger causality test was used to observe the causality direction among the variables. Findings – the obtained results revealed that in the short run, all the selected variables have no prominent impact on R&D expenditure. However, the long run result, presented that the transparency situation of upper-middle-income countries, simultaneously the governments’ final consumption, the amount of credit provided to the private sector, and national income are unfavorably affecting technological development while the GDP is positively affecting the expenditure in R&D. Research limitations – the exclusive focus on macroeconomic factors and upper-middle-income countries as well as the fact of excluding the role of micro factors and low-income countries are the major limitation of the study. Practical implications – policymakers and nations looking to accomplish technological transformation in the age of digitization can benefit from the study’s findings. Originality/Value – since prior studies highlighted the link of macroeconomic factors with specific sectors such as healthcare, education, and agriculture. Thus, giving little attention to or neglecting the information technology sector that compromises a more specific branch such as research and development. For that reason, this paper will bring light to this phenomenon.
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宏观经济因素在形成技术发展格局方面的潜力:来自中高收入国家的证明
目的-本文的主要目标是研究宏观经济因素在促进中高收入国家技术发展中的作用。研究方法-为了进行调查,本文选择了研究和开发支出作为技术进步的代理,而人均GDP,最终消费支出,国内对私营部门的信贷,国民收入和政府透明度被选为宏观经济指标的代理。此外,为了捕获变量之间的长期和短期关系,执行了VECM方法。此外,采用格兰杰因果检验来观察变量之间的因果关系方向。研究结果-所得结果显示,在短期内,所有选择的变量对研发支出的影响都不显著。然而,长期结果表明,中高收入国家的透明度状况,同时政府的最终消费、向私营部门提供的信贷金额和国民收入对技术发展产生不利影响,而GDP对研发支出产生积极影响。研究的局限性——只关注宏观经济因素和中上收入国家,排除了微观因素和低收入国家的作用,是本研究的主要局限性。实际意义——希望在数字化时代实现技术转型的政策制定者和国家可以从研究结果中受益。原创性/价值——因为先前的研究强调了宏观经济因素与医疗保健、教育和农业等特定部门的联系。因此,很少关注或忽视信息技术部门,这损害了研究和开发等更具体的分支。因此,本文将为这一现象带来启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
14
审稿时长
8 weeks
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