Local Employment Growth Patterns and the Great Recession: The Case of Spain

Adelheid Holl
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引用次数: 24

Abstract

The 2008 financial and economic crisis has led to widespread destruction of employment in Spain. Using municipality data, I examine employment growth differences between urban cores, urban hinterlands, and rural areas during the pre‐crisis period and the recession period. The data show that patterns of growth and decline have been very uneven across different types of areas. While in the boom years, hinterlands and rural areas experienced higher growth, urban core areas have done better during the recession years. I then test three strands of explanations for local growth differences: (i) the role of the local sectoral composition, (ii) the role of human capital, and (iii) the role of access to urban core areas. Estimations for employment growth in the two periods show that the crisis has altered some of the drivers of local employment growth and that human capital has been a key determinant of local resilience during the Great Recession.
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地方就业增长模式与大衰退:以西班牙为例
2008年的金融和经济危机导致了西班牙就业的大范围破坏。利用市政数据,我研究了危机前和经济衰退时期城市核心、城市腹地和农村地区之间的就业增长差异。数据显示,在不同类型的地区,增长和下降的模式非常不平衡。在经济繁荣时期,内地和农村地区经历了更高的增长,而城市核心地区在经济衰退时期表现更好。然后,我测试了对地方增长差异的三种解释:(I)地方部门构成的作用,(ii)人力资本的作用,以及(iii)进入城市核心地区的作用。对这两个时期就业增长的估计表明,危机改变了当地就业增长的一些驱动因素,人力资本是大衰退期间当地恢复力的关键决定因素。
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