Portfolio Choices and Asset Prices under EUUP: The Comparative Statics Analysis

Hideki Iwaki, Y. Osaki
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Abstract

This paper examines the standard static portfolio problem and asset pricing under the Knightian uncertainty or ambiguity. Each investor’s preference is represented by the expected utility with uncertainty probability (EUUP) of Izhakian (2017). First, We show the threshold of an ambiguity-averse (-loving) investor for whether or not she/he invests in uncertain assets is higher (lower) than that of ambiguity-neutral investors. This might give partial solution for “market participating puzzle.” Next, we show conditions under which more ambiguity aversion reduces demand for the uncertain asset. Finally, we derive the state price density (SPD). Applying the empirically estimated parameter values to the derived one, we show the shape of it is not monotone decreasing but bumped. The result shows that EUUP gives another plausible solution for “pricing kernel puzzle.”
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EUUP下的投资组合选择与资产价格:比较统计学分析
本文研究了奈特不确定性或模糊性下的标准静态投资组合问题和资产定价问题。每个投资者的偏好用Izhakian(2017)的不确定概率期望效用(EUUP)表示。首先,我们展示了歧义厌恶(热爱)投资者是否投资于不确定资产的门槛高于(低于)歧义中性投资者。这可能会部分解决“市场参与之谜”。接下来,我们展示了更多的模糊性厌恶降低不确定资产需求的条件。最后,导出状态价格密度(SPD)。将经验估计的参数值应用于导出的参数值,我们发现它的形状不是单调递减的,而是颠簸的。结果表明,EUUP为“定价核难题”提供了另一种合理的解决方案。
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