{"title":"An End of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Sight?","authors":"E. Steele, R. Gorczynski, R. Lindley, G. Tokoro, D. Wallis, R. Temple, N. C. Wickramasinghe","doi":"10.31038/idt.2021222","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We have set out to assess the data on the intensity of the COVID-19 pandemic with a view to making plausible predictions of its decline. A plot of \"% COVID-19 Associated Death per Day” versus the timing and extent of the roll out of national vaccination campaigns in Sweden, Denmark, Netherlands, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy and USA shows that the decline in the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic was well advanced noticeably before vaccinations began or could have become a significant contributory factor. Israel is an outlier in its manifest decline pattern, yet the data also demonstrate that vaccination has had no discernible impact at all on % Deaths per Day in Israel. © 2022 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.","PeriodicalId":87272,"journal":{"name":"Infectious diseases and therapeutics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"15","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Infectious diseases and therapeutics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.31038/idt.2021222","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 15
COVID-19大流行即将结束?
我们已着手评估有关COVID-19大流行强度的数据,以期对其下降做出合理的预测。“每日COVID-19相关死亡百分比”与瑞典、丹麦、荷兰、英国、法国、德国、意大利和美国开展国家疫苗接种运动的时间和范围的对比图表明,在开始接种疫苗之前,COVID-19大流行严重程度的下降就已经明显提前,或者可能成为一个重要的促成因素。以色列在其明显的下降模式中是一个异常值,但数据也表明,疫苗接种对以色列每天的死亡率没有任何明显的影响。©2022世界科学出版有限公司。
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