Rational Agony

Michael Skerker
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Abstract

Perhaps this is asking too much, given that all the sources are secondary. Nevertheless, Ridley’s book goes some way to showing how what we might now call the “cognitive dissonance” between the German military/political leadership and its intelligence product constituted not so much a failure of intelligence but was part of a grand strategic project that no amount of “truth to power” telling intelligence was likely to alter. The German strategy was both defeated and self-defeating; to that extent, it is quite straightforward to add poverty of intelligence to the balance sheet of defeat. The analysis becomes more complex when looking at the British account. Not defeated, certainly. Victorious, yes, in the counterair battle but helpless to prevent the ensuing “Blitz” of 1940–1941. REFERENCES
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理性的痛苦
也许这要求太多了,因为所有的资料来源都是第二手的。尽管如此,雷德利的书在某种程度上表明,我们现在所说的德国军事/政治领导层与其情报产品之间的“认知失调”,与其说是情报的失败,不如说是一个宏大战略项目的一部分,再多的“向权力真相”情报也不可能改变。德国的战略既失败又弄巧成拙;从这个意义上说,在失败的资产负债表上加上智力贫乏是相当直接的。当研究英国的账户时,分析变得更加复杂。当然没有被打败。是的,在反空战中取得了胜利,但在1940-1941年随后的“闪电战”中却无能为力。参考文献
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
22.20%
发文量
102
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