Chaos analysis of the time series data derived from human activities

Hiroyuki Nishikawa, M. Kuramoto, Shigeki Okino, F. Suda
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Abstract

Various chaos analyses have been applied for the time series of several human activities. As a result of recurrence plot and power spectrum analyses, three rough classes of the transactions between companies, those between companies and individuals, and those between individuals can be refined according to the geometrical structure of an attractor into three more accurate categories: non-stationary, periodic and stochastic changes. In a stochastic one, the slope of the approximate straight line of the log-log graph of power spectrum density: β ≥ 1.26, and the recurrence plot of its attractor shows non-contiguous diagonal lines; in a periodic one, 0.770 ≤ β ≤ 1.25, equally-spaced diagonals; and in a non-stationary one, 0.108 ≤ β ≤ 0.389, ambiguous boundaries of domain.
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混沌分析源自人类活动的时间序列数据
各种混沌分析已应用于几种人类活动的时间序列。通过递归图和功率谱分析,可以根据吸引子的几何结构,将公司之间的交易、公司与个人之间的交易和个人之间的交易大致分为三大类:非平稳变化、周期性变化和随机变化。在随机情况下,功率谱密度对数对数图的近似直线斜率:β≥1.26,其吸引子的递归图为不连续的对角线;在周期函数中,0.770≤β≤1.25,等间距对角线;在非平稳模型中,0.108≤β≤0.389,域边界模糊。
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