Using Decision Tree Data Mining Algorithm to Predict Causes of Road Traffic Accidents, its Prone Locations and Time along Kano –Wudil Highway

L. J. Muhammad, S. Salisu, A. Yakubu, Y. M. Malgwi, E. Abdullahi, I. .. Mohammed, N. Muhammad
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引用次数: 25

Abstract

Road traffic accidents, the inadvertent crash involving at least one motor vehicle, occurring on a road open to public circulation, in which at least one person is injured or killed; intentional acts (murder, suicide) and natural disasters excluded, is indisputably one of the most frequent and most damaging calamities bedeviling human societies, in particular, Nigeria, today. It is therefore, of paramount importance to seek to identify the root causes of road traffic accidents in order to proffer mitigating solutions to address the menace. This research, aimed at predicting the likely causes of road accidents, its prone locations and time along Kano– Wudil highway in order to take all necessary counter measures is a step forward in this direction. In this study data mining decision tree algorithm was used to predict the causes of the accidents, its prone locations and time along Kano – Wudil Highway that links Kano State to Wudil Local Government Area Kano State for effective decision making. performance were analyzed using road accidents data set. The location is between the first 40 kilometers along the Ibadan-Lagos Express road. The work used Multilayer Perceptron as well as Radial Basis Function (RBF) Neural Networks, Id3 and Function Tree algorithms. that the tree algorithm performed with accuracy performed
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用决策树数据挖掘算法预测卡诺-武迪尔公路道路交通事故的原因、易发地点和时间
道路交通事故,指在公共交通的道路上发生至少一辆机动车的意外碰撞,造成至少一人受伤或者死亡的事故;蓄意行为(谋杀、自杀)和自然灾害除外,这无疑是当今困扰人类社会,特别是尼日利亚的最频繁和最具破坏性的灾难之一。因此,最重要的是设法查明道路交通事故的根本原因,以便提供减轻这一威胁的解决办法。这项研究的目的是预测道路事故的可能原因、其易发地点和沿Kano - Wudil高速公路的时间,以便采取一切必要的应对措施,这是朝着这个方向迈出的一步。本研究采用数据挖掘决策树算法预测连接卡诺州和卡诺州地方政府区域的卡诺-乌迪尔公路沿线的事故原因、易发地点和时间,以进行有效的决策。使用道路事故数据集对性能进行分析。地点在伊巴丹-拉各斯高速公路的前40公里之间。这项工作使用了多层感知器、径向基函数(RBF)神经网络、Id3和函数树算法。树形算法执行得很准确
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