Shaping the Habits of Teen Drivers

T. Moore, Todd Morris
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Teens are risky drivers and often subject to extra restrictions. We examine the effects of an Australian intervention banning first-year drivers from carrying multiple passengers between 11:00pm and 4:59am, which had represented 3% of their accidents and 18% of their fatalities. Using daytime outcomes to account for counterfactual crash risks, we find the reform more than halves targeted crashes, casualties and deaths. The restriction also lowers crashes earlier in the evening and beyond the first year, suggesting it has broad and persistent effects on driving behavior. Overall, this targeted intervention delivers gains comparable to harsher restrictions that delay teen driving. Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
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塑造青少年司机的习惯
青少年是危险的司机,经常受到额外的限制。我们研究了澳大利亚一项干预措施的影响,该措施禁止第一年驾驶的司机在晚上11点到凌晨4点59分之间搭载多名乘客,这占他们的交通事故的3%,占死亡人数的18%。使用白天的结果来解释反事实的撞车风险,我们发现改革有一半以上是针对撞车、伤亡和死亡的。这一限制还降低了夜间早些时候和第一年以后的撞车事故,表明它对驾驶行为有广泛而持久的影响。总的来说,这种有针对性的干预所带来的收益与推迟青少年驾驶的严厉限制相当。国家经济研究局工作论文系列的机构订阅者和发展中国家的居民可以在www.nber.org免费下载本文。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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