Reliability Study on the Life Extension of Subsea Umbilical Systems

João Melo, Murilo Silva
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Subsea umbilicals are a critical element on most subsea oil & gas production systems. They can include hydraulic conduits and electrical and/or optical cables that serve as a critical lifeline, connecting topside facilities and equipment to subsea architecture, distributing multiple elements including power, chemicals, and communication functions throughout the deepest and harshest of environments. Globally, thousands of subsea umbilical systems are approaching or have reached the end of their design lives after 15-25 years of operation. In many cases, operators would have a need to continue using such umbilical systems for longer, but they are unsure whether that can be done or if they need to invest in new replacement umbilicals. To make the right decision, operators need a well-defined process for evaluating the risks of continuing to produce using the existing umbilical systems. This paper presents a simple methodology for assessing risks related to extending the life of subsea umbilical systems. This method helps operators identify the most critical areas of the system and their associated risks, and helps estimate the reliability of the system in its current and future states. Upon review of available literature and current practices, it was determined that there were no industry standards for extending the life of umbilicals. The method described here is in line with the guidelines and recommendations of API RP 17N [Ref. 1]. The approach includes a review of the available information related to the life of the asset along with risk identification, risk assessment and recommendations for risk mitigation. Reliability models using field data and available literature are used to quantify the system reliability under different conditions, including life-extension scenarios. The proposed method is demonstrated using an actual business case from the North Sea, where risks associated with the life extension of a given umbilical system were identified and reviewed, and where the work has supported the operator's decision-making process.
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延长水下脐带系统寿命的可靠性研究
海底脐带缆是大多数海底油气生产系统的关键部件。它们可以包括液压管道、电气和/或光缆,作为关键的生命线,将上层设施和设备连接到海底建筑,在最深和最恶劣的环境中分配包括电力、化学品和通信功能在内的多种元素。在全球范围内,经过15-25年的运行,成千上万的海底脐带系统正在接近或达到其设计寿命的终点。在许多情况下,作业者需要继续使用这种脐带系统更长时间,但他们不确定是否可以做到这一点,或者是否需要投资购买新的脐带系统。为了做出正确的决定,作业者需要一个明确的流程来评估继续使用现有脐带系统进行生产的风险。本文介绍了一种简单的方法来评估与延长水下脐带系统寿命相关的风险。该方法可以帮助作业者识别系统中最关键的区域及其相关风险,并有助于评估系统在当前和未来状态下的可靠性。通过对现有文献和当前实践的回顾,确定没有延长脐带缆使用寿命的行业标准。这里描述的方法符合API RP 17N的指南和建议[参考文献1]。该方法包括审查与资产寿命有关的现有信息,以及风险识别、风险评估和减轻风险的建议。可靠性模型使用现场数据和现有文献来量化系统在不同条件下的可靠性,包括寿命延长场景。该方法通过北海的一个实际商业案例进行了验证,该案例识别并评估了与延长脐带系统寿命相关的风险,并为作业者的决策过程提供了支持。
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