FENOMENA MONDAY EFFECT PADA INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN INDONESIA

Eliza Noviriani, Soraya Soraya, Zulham Al Farizi
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Abstract

The purpose of this research is to get empirical evidence about Monday effect phenomenon on Indonesia Composite Stock Price Index. The diversity of arguments and research results on the Monday effect phenomenon derived from previous studies makes this phenomenon interesting to investigate. By using Kruskal Wallis test and Simple Regression on 246 daily stock returns during 2016, it can be concluded that there is no Monday effect phenomenon on Indonesia Composite Stock Price Index. It causes condition of Indonesia capital market in 2016. Results show the average positive return occurs in almost all trading days. Only returns on Friday show negative values. This condition shows that the year was a year with a good investment climate so that the frequency of stock trading tends to be positive and evenly throughout the year. In addition, the absence of the Monday effect phenomenon is also marked by the absence of the effect of stock return Friday the previous week against stock returns Monday. These results indicate that form of a weak market efficiency. That means the past data is unrelated to the present value of the Indonesian capital market in 2016.
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本研究的目的是为了获得周一效应现象对印尼综合股价指数的实证证据。从以往的研究中得出的关于周一效应现象的不同观点和研究结果,使得这一现象的调查变得有趣。通过对2016年246只股票的日收益进行Kruskal Wallis检验和简单回归分析,可以得出印尼综合股价指数不存在周一效应现象。这导致了2016年印尼资本市场的状况。结果显示,几乎所有交易日的平均回报率都是正的。只有周五的回报显示为负值。这种情况说明当年是投资环境较好的一年,股票交易频率在全年中趋于正且均匀。此外,周一效应现象的不存在还表现为前一周周五股票收益对周一股票收益的影响不存在。这些结果表明,这种形式的市场效率较弱。这意味着过去的数据与2016年印尼资本市场的现值无关。
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