If a Tree Falls in the Forest: Presidential Press Conferences and Early Media Narratives about the COVID-19 Crisis

Masha Krupenkin, Kai Zhu, Dylan Walker, David M. Rothschild
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Abstract

Throughout the COVID-19 crisis, as we confronted questions about social distancing, masking wearing, and vaccines, public safety experts warned that the consequences of a misinformed population would be particularly dire due to the serious nature of the threat and necessity of severe collective action to keep the population safe. Thus, the media and the political elites (e.g., President of the United States) who possess the power to set the information agenda around COVID-19 bear a huge responsibility for the general welfare. Through automated text analysis of complete transcripts of national cable, network, and local news, we explore their narratives surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic and we characterize the differences in which topics were covered and how they were covered by various media sources. Our analysis reveals polarized narratives around blame, racial and economic disparities, and scientific conclusions about COVID-19. Among the various agenda-setting mechanisms available to the president is daily press conferences, which provide a unique opportunity to leverage public exposure, accelerated by the state of crisis. We found both resonance and contrast between the narratives of media and President press conferences. However, as online search data revealed, public information-seeking behavior resemble media coverage more than the President's messages.
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如果一棵树倒在森林里:总统新闻发布会和关于COVID-19危机的早期媒体叙述
在整个COVID-19危机期间,当我们面临有关社交距离、佩戴口罩和疫苗的问题时,公共安全专家警告说,由于威胁的严重性和采取严厉集体行动以保障人口安全的必要性,被误导的人群的后果将特别可怕。因此,掌握COVID-19信息议程的媒体和政治精英(如美国总统)对普遍福利负有巨大责任。通过对国家有线电视、网络和地方新闻完整文本的自动文本分析,我们探索了它们围绕COVID-19大流行的叙述,并描述了不同媒体来源报道主题的差异以及报道方式。我们的分析揭示了围绕指责、种族和经济差异以及关于COVID-19的科学结论的两极分化叙述。总统可以利用的各种议程设置机制包括每日新闻发布会,这提供了利用公众曝光的独特机会,危机状态加速了这一机会。我们在媒体和总统新闻发布会的叙述中发现了共鸣和对比。然而,正如在线搜索数据显示的那样,公众寻求信息的行为更像媒体报道,而不是总统的信息。
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