Three tests for the existence of cycles in time series

FABIO CANOVA
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

Three tests for the presence of cycles in univariate time series are proposed. The asymptotic distribution of the tests is derived using the properties of the integrated periodogram and the small sample properties are examined using a Monte Carlo experiment. The tests are applied to U.S. data to detect the existence of significant seasonal and of other types of periodic fluctuations.

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时间序列中存在周期的三个检验
提出了单变量时间序列中存在周期的三种检验方法。利用积分周期图的性质推导了检验的渐近分布,并利用蒙特卡罗实验检验了小样本性质。这些测试应用于美国的数据,以检测是否存在显著的季节性波动和其他类型的周期性波动。
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