THE FIRST EUROPEAN WAR OF THE THIRD MILLENNIUM: PROLOGUE OR EPILOGUE? (political notes on the Russian-Ukrainian war of 2014-2022)

Volodymyr Smolianiuk
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Abstract

The article examines the course and consequences of the first (and so far only) European war of the new century - Russian-Ukrainian in the time interval of 2014-2022. The main definitions of this war, which does not have a single meaningful interpretation on the part of the scientific, information-analytical and mass media community, are given. The main international and institutional consequences of the Russian-Ukrainian war are detailed. The conclusion is formulated that security structures of the XX century are inefficient regulators of armed and force interstate relations of the 21st century. Some geoeconomic and geopolitical consequences of Russian aggression against Ukraine are revealed. The new accents of NATO development, new dimensions of the geopolitical behavior of China and Turkey, a new vision on the security prospects of humanity on the part of English-speaking countries, primarily Great Britain and the United States, are detailed. The uncertainty of the future of the Russian Federation, which is at a crossroads of sorts, is emphasized. It is emphasized that the consequences of the Russian-Ukrainian war, in view of their scale and global security and political resonance, will have increased importance for the affirmation of a new system of international relations, the formation of which will take place with the participation of Ukraine. In general, it is proven that the world has irreversibly entered a new phase (epoch) of development, which denies the logic, rationality, experience, and legal basis of past historical periods.
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第三个千年的第一场欧洲战争:序幕还是尾声?(关于2014-2022年俄乌战争的政治笔记)
本文考察了2014-2022年期间,新世纪第一场(也是迄今为止唯一一场)欧洲战争——俄乌战争的进程和后果。本文给出了这场战争的主要定义,科学界、信息分析界和大众媒体界对这场战争没有任何有意义的解释。详述了俄乌战争的主要国际和制度后果。得出的结论是,20世纪的安全结构是21世纪武装和武力国家间关系的低效监管者。揭示了俄罗斯侵略乌克兰的一些地缘经济和地缘政治后果。本书详细阐述了北约发展的新特点、中国和土耳其地缘政治行为的新维度、英语国家(主要是英国和美国)对人类安全前景的新看法。他强调了处于各种十字路口的俄罗斯联邦未来的不确定性。委员会强调,鉴于俄罗斯-乌克兰战争的规模和全球安全和政治影响,其后果对于确认一种新的国际关系体系将具有更大的重要性,该体系的形成将在乌克兰的参与下进行。总的来说,它证明了世界已经不可逆转地进入了一个新的发展阶段(时代),它否认了过去历史时期的逻辑、理性、经验和法律基础。
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发文量
16
审稿时长
12 weeks
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