Classification of Open-End Investment Funds Using Artificial Neural Networks. The Case of Polish Equity Funds

Katarzyna Perez, Małgorzata Szczyt
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Abstract

Abstract In this study we utilise artificial neural networks to classify equity investment funds according to two fundamental risk measures—standard deviation and beta ratio—and to investigate the fund characteristics essential to this classification. Based on a sample of 4,645 monthly observations on 37 equity funds from the largest fund families registered in Poland from December 1995 to March 2018, we allocated funds to one of the classes generated using Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Radial Basis Function (RBF). The results of the study confirm the legitimacy of using machine learning as a tool for classifying equity investment funds, though standard deviation turned out to be a better classifier than the beta ratio. In addition to the level of investment risk, the fund classification can be supported by the fund distribution channel, the fund name, age, and size, as well as the current economic situation. We find historical returns (apart from the last-month return) and the net cash flows of the fund to be insignificant for the fund classification.
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开放式投资基金的人工神经网络分类。波兰股票基金的案例
摘要本文利用人工神经网络对股票投资基金进行分类,并根据标准差和贝塔比这两个基本风险指标对基金进行分类。根据1995年12月至2018年3月期间在波兰注册的最大基金家族的37只股票基金的4,645个月度观察样本,我们将资金分配给使用多层感知器(MLP)和径向基函数(RBF)生成的一个类别。该研究的结果证实了使用机器学习作为股票投资基金分类工具的合法性,尽管标准差被证明是比贝塔比率更好的分类器。除了投资风险的高低,基金的分类还可以通过基金的分销渠道、基金的名称、年龄、规模以及当前的经济状况来支持。我们发现基金的历史回报(除了上个月的回报)和净现金流量对于基金分类来说是微不足道的。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
期刊介绍: The Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics (CEJEME) is a quarterly international journal. It aims to publish articles focusing on mathematical or statistical models in economic sciences. Papers covering the application of existing econometric techniques to a wide variety of problems in economics, in particular in macroeconomics and finance are welcome. Advanced empirical studies devoted to modelling and forecasting of Central and Eastern European economies are of particular interest. Any rigorous methods of statistical inference can be used and articles representing Bayesian econometrics are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests.
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