Prediction of Wind Power Generation using Deep Learnning

Jeongjin Choi, Hyo-Sang Choi
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Abstract

This study predicts the amount of wind power generation for rational operation plan of wind power generation and capacity calculation of ESS. For forecasting, we present a method of predicting wind power generation by combining a physical approach and a statistical approach. The factors of wind power generation are analyzed and variables are selected. By collecting historical data of the selected variables, the amount of wind power generation is predicted using deep learning. The model used is a hybrid model that combines a bidirectional long short term memory (LSTM) and a convolution neural network (CNN) algorithm. To compare the prediction performance, this model is compared with the model and the error which consist of the MLP(:Multi Layer Perceptron) algorithm, The results is presented to evaluate the prediction performance.
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利用深度学习预测风力发电
本研究对风电的发电量进行预测,以实现风电的合理运行计划和ESS的容量计算。在预测方面,我们提出了一种物理方法和统计方法相结合的预测风力发电的方法。对风力发电的影响因素进行了分析,选取了变量。通过收集所选变量的历史数据,利用深度学习预测风力发电量。所使用的模型是结合了双向长短期记忆(LSTM)和卷积神经网络(CNN)算法的混合模型。为了比较该模型的预测性能,将该模型与由多层感知器(MLP)算法组成的模型和误差进行了比较,并给出了预测结果来评价其预测性能。
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