Trend and Seasonal Analysis of Annual One Day Maximum Rainfall

P. Pandya, D. K. Dwivedi, Bimal Prachi, Shimvam Ahirwar, Naita Kumari
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Abstract

Saurashtra region is characterized by high temporal and spatial rainfall fluctuations. The daily maximum rainfall has a direct impact on the agricultural yield. It is thereby necessary to comprehend the trend changes in the annual daily maximum rainfall (ADMR). The daily rainfall data of 40 years (1981 to 2020), for 11 stations in Saurashtra was utilized for trend analysis of ADMRusing Mann Kendall's method and Sen's slope method. It was revealed from the Mann-Kendall test that significant positive trends were exhibited at Dwarka and Surendranagar. Further, Sen's slope and linear regression indicated that the ADMRat Rajkot and Surendranagar were having highest increasing trend. Trend analysis of ADMRcontribution to annual rainfall showed negative trend indicating better temporal distribution of rainfall. It was also revealed that the extreme events of rainfall usually occurred uniformly on certain days of the year from the results of directional statistics.
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年一日最大雨量趋势及季节分析
索拉什特拉地区降雨时空波动大。日最大降雨量对农业产量有直接影响。因此,有必要了解年日最大降雨量(ADMR)的趋势变化。利用索拉什特拉邦11个站点的40 a(1981 ~ 2020)日降水资料,采用Mann Kendall法和Sen’s slope法对admrr进行趋势分析。Mann-Kendall测试显示,在Dwarka和Surendranagar显示出显著的积极趋势。Sen’s斜率和线性回归结果表明,拉杰果德和苏伦德拉讷加尔的ADMRat增长趋势最高。admr对年降雨量贡献的趋势分析呈负趋势,表明降雨量的时间分布较好。定向统计结果还揭示了极端降水事件通常在一年中的某些日子均匀发生。
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