The Negative Effects of Low Oil Prices on Nigerian Economy

A. Akinwande, J. Olotewo
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The energy sector is one of the most the most important components of Nigeria’s economy because of the endowment of the country a wealth of energy resources such as coal and oil. The discovery of oil occurred in the year 1958. The earlier portion of the 1970s was notable for the dominance of oil on the country’s economy. Currently, Nigeria stands out as one of the largest producers of oil in the sub-Saharan part of Africa with estimated production volumes amounting to 2.413 million barrels daily, which makes it the sixth most significant producer. Since the year 1960, Nigeria has managed to reap an estimated six hundred billion dollars in revenues from oil. Despite the vast number of its wealth in oil, Nigeria highlights the highest number of people living in poverty-stricken conditions. With per capita incomes averaging around three hundred and fifty dollars, estimates indicate about seventy million Nigerians as living on less than a dollar daily. The fluctuation of prices, which has been synonymous with the oil industry, does little to provide comfort especially for the long term. From a short-term perspective, Nigeria has been able to establish an increasing albeit volatile growth owing to the high prices of oil on the global scale. From a long-term perspective, a combination of low prices and an undiversified production base will eventually take its toll on the economy, thus resulting in a wide range of negative effects. The high level of dependency for the Nigerian economy on oil implies that volatility of the oils sector have an enhanced impact on government revenue and the determination of financial policy.
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低油价对尼日利亚经济的负面影响
能源部门是尼日利亚经济最重要的组成部分之一,因为该国拥有丰富的能源资源,如煤炭和石油。石油是在1958年发现的。20世纪70年代早期,石油在该国经济中的主导地位引人注目。目前,尼日利亚是撒哈拉以南非洲地区最大的石油生产国之一,估计日产量为241.3万桶,使其成为第六大石油生产国。自1960年以来,尼日利亚已经从石油中获得了大约6000亿美元的收入。尽管尼日利亚有大量的石油财富,但生活在贫困中的人数最多。尼日利亚人均收入约为350美元,据估计约有7000万尼日利亚人每天的生活费不足1美元。油价的波动一直是石油行业的代名词,但从长期来看,这种波动并不能给人们带来什么安慰。从短期来看,由于全球范围内的高油价,尼日利亚已经能够建立一个不断增加的增长,尽管不稳定。从长期来看,低价格和单一生产基础的结合最终将对经济造成损害,从而产生广泛的负面影响。尼日利亚经济对石油的高度依赖意味着,石油部门的波动对政府收入和财政政策的确定产生了更大的影响。
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