Instability pattern of wheat and rapeseed mustard in India and Haryana

M. Punia, K. Kundu, P. Nimbrayan
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Abstract

The green revolution technology succeed in transforming the country from a large food importer and beneficiary of food aid in the 1950s and 1960s, to a food secure country. Instability in farm production was main concern during green revolution period and removed by using high yielding varieties, irrigation facilities and other risk management strategies. The paper has estimated the instability of wheat and rapeseed mustard at national level and then has compared it with Haryana state for the period of 1966-67 to 2016-17. The overall period divided in four periods acc. to reforms separately and also analyzed jointly. The overall scenario provided clear picture about instability and accomplished that instability was very high in case of rapeseed mustard as compared to wheat irrespective of rabi crops both. In case of wheat, variations in yield were much larger than area and production. But in case of rapeseed mustard, more instability found in the pattern of production.
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印度和哈里亚纳邦小麦和油菜籽芥末的不稳定模式
绿色革命技术成功地将该国从20世纪50年代和60年代的粮食进口大国和粮食援助受益者转变为粮食安全国家。农业生产不稳定是绿色革命时期的主要问题,并通过使用高产品种、灌溉设施和其他风险管理策略加以消除。该论文估计了全国范围内小麦和油菜籽芥末的不稳定性,然后将其与哈里亚纳邦1966-67年至2016-17年期间的数据进行了比较。整个时期分为四个时期。要单独改革,也要联合分析。总体情况提供了关于不稳定性的清晰画面,并表明,与小麦相比,油菜籽、芥菜的不稳定性非常高,而不考虑两种作物。就小麦而言,产量的变化远远大于面积和产量的变化。但以菜籽芥为例,生产模式更不稳定。
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