METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK TO INTEGRATE SOCIAL AND PHYSICAL VULNERABILITY IN THE PREVENTION OF SEISMIC RISK

Luis Izquierdo-Horna, R. Kahhat
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The huge variety of natural disasters that have occurred in Peru highlights the necessity, due to the social, economic and environmental impacts, to improve national risk and disaster management plans. Hence the need to evaluate vulnerability from a multidimensional perspective that allows the assessment of the social and physical conditions of the region. The main objective of this research is to help improve risk and disaster management plans by proposing a methodology that integrates the assessment of physical vulnerability (based on the physical characteristics of the infrastructure) with social vulnerability, as a result of the main sociodemographic variables. Using the Peruvian city of Chiclayo (located in the district of Chiclayo) as a case study, this methodology has been implemented for the specific case of earthquakes. In order to determine the overall vulnerability of this district, it was first necessary to determine each component, social and physical, separately. For the physical aspect of vulnerability, the amount of debris generated after a seismic event was used as a proxy. For the social aspect, representative and valid social indicators were used for the study area, such as level of education, age profile, permanent disability. By integrating both results, we obtain a global perspective on the vulnerability, giving equal importance, in the assessment of seismic risk, to the individual and infrastructure. The final result of this methodological tool is identification of which sectors need immediate help after a seismic event. Otherwise, if the seismic risk assessment is based only on information about physical aspects, certain areas of the district, that require urgent actions, may be neglected. Finally, this methodology is applicable for the different scales of analysis (e.g. country, region and district).
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在预防地震风险中整合社会和物理脆弱性的方法框架
秘鲁发生的各种各样的自然灾害突出表明,由于社会、经济和环境影响,有必要改进国家风险和灾害管理计划。因此,需要从多层面的角度评价脆弱性,从而能够评估该区域的社会和物质条件。本研究的主要目标是通过提出一种方法,将物理脆弱性(基于基础设施的物理特征)的评估与社会脆弱性(主要社会人口变量的结果)相结合,帮助改善风险和灾害管理计划。以秘鲁Chiclayo市(位于Chiclayo区)为例进行研究,该方法已被用于具体的地震案例。为了确定该地区的整体脆弱性,首先需要分别确定每个组成部分,包括社会和物理。对于脆弱性的物理方面,地震事件后产生的碎片数量被用作代理。在社会方面,研究采用了具有代表性和有效性的社会指标,如教育水平、年龄特征、永久残疾等。通过整合这两个结果,我们获得了一个关于脆弱性的全球视角,在评估地震风险时,对个人和基础设施给予同等的重视。这种方法工具的最终结果是确定地震事件发生后哪些部门需要立即提供帮助。否则,如果地震风险评估仅基于物理方面的信息,则可能会忽略需要紧急行动的地区的某些区域。最后,这种方法适用于不同的分析尺度(如国家、地区和地区)。
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