{"title":"Option Skills","authors":"A. Anand, Jian Hua, A. Puckett","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3078061","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We contribute to the debate on whether institutional investors have an information advantage in a novel way – by investigating institutional options holdings. We find that net institutional option holdings predict both future abnormal stock returns and earnings surprises, particularly for stocks with more opaque public information environments. The return predictability in net option holdings stems from the negative information reflected in institutions’ put positions, and is orthogonal to other variables that may contain similar information (short interest and signed option trading imbalances). We find that institutions use put options as complements, rather than the often-posited substitute for short selling.","PeriodicalId":11757,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Other Microeconomics: General Equilibrium & Disequilibrium Models of Financial Markets (Topic)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Other Microeconomics: General Equilibrium & Disequilibrium Models of Financial Markets (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3078061","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract

We contribute to the debate on whether institutional investors have an information advantage in a novel way – by investigating institutional options holdings. We find that net institutional option holdings predict both future abnormal stock returns and earnings surprises, particularly for stocks with more opaque public information environments. The return predictability in net option holdings stems from the negative information reflected in institutions’ put positions, and is orthogonal to other variables that may contain similar information (short interest and signed option trading imbalances). We find that institutions use put options as complements, rather than the often-posited substitute for short selling.
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我们以一种新颖的方式——通过调查机构期权持有情况,为机构投资者是否具有信息优势的辩论做出了贡献。我们发现,机构期权净持有量既能预测未来股票的异常收益,也能预测意外收益,特别是对于公共信息环境不透明的股票。净期权持有量的收益可预测性源于机构看跌头寸中反映的负面信息,并且与可能包含类似信息的其他变量(空头权益和签约期权交易失衡)正交。我们发现机构使用看跌期权作为补充,而不是通常假设的卖空的替代品。
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