Advocating the Broad Use of the Decision Tree Method in Education

Q2 Social Sciences Practical Assessment, Research and Evaluation Pub Date : 2017-11-01 DOI:10.7275/2W3N-0F07
C. Gomes, L. Almeida
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引用次数: 22

Abstract

Predictive studies have been widely undertaken in the field of education to provide strategic information about the extensive set of processes related to teaching and learning, as well as about what variables predict certain educational outcomes, such as academic achievement or dropout. As in any other area, there is a set of standard techniques that is usually used in predictive studies in the field education. Even though the Decision Tree Method is a well-known and standard approach in Data Mining and Machine Learning, and is broadly used in data science since the 1980's, this method is not part of the mainstream techniques used in predictive studies in the field of education. In this paper, we support a broad use of the Decision Tree Method in education. Instead of presenting formal algorithms or mathematical axioms to present the Decision Tree Method, we strictly present the method in practical terms, focusing on the rationale of the method, on how to interpret its results, and also, on the reasons why it should be broadly applied. We first show the modus operandi of the Decision Tree Method through a didactic example; afterwards, we apply the method in a classification task, in order to analyze specific educational data.
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提倡在教育中广泛运用决策树方法
在教育领域,预测性研究已被广泛开展,以提供与教与学有关的一系列广泛过程的战略信息,以及预测某些教育成果(如学业成就或辍学)的变量。正如在任何其他领域一样,有一套标准技术通常用于实地教育的预测研究。尽管决策树方法是数据挖掘和机器学习中众所周知的标准方法,并且自20世纪80年代以来广泛用于数据科学,但该方法并不是教育领域预测研究中使用的主流技术的一部分。在本文中,我们支持决策树方法在教育中的广泛应用。我们没有提出正式的算法或数学公理来介绍决策树方法,而是严格地从实际角度来介绍该方法,重点是该方法的基本原理,如何解释其结果,以及为什么它应该被广泛应用。我们首先通过一个说教性的例子来展示决策树方法的运作方式;然后,我们将该方法应用到一个分类任务中,以分析具体的教育数据。
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