Longer life but worsening health? Trends in health and mortality of middle-aged and older persons.

L. Verbrugge
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引用次数: 519

Abstract

population has enjoyed rapidly declining mortality rates at all ages and for both sexes. This was an unanticipated phenomenon; it followed two decades (the 1950s and 1960s) of virtually stationary rates for males and slowly declining ones for females. Reasons for the new decline are not known with certainty, but scientists believe that early diagnosis and treatment of life-threatening chronic diseases has been a major factor. If people's chances of survival improve, especially at middle and older ages, what happens to the health profile of the population? Does it worsen because the people "rescued" from death are ill, and their retention in the living population boosts prevalence rates of chronic conditions?
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寿命更长但健康状况恶化?中老年人的健康和死亡率趋势。
人口死亡率在各年龄段和两性中迅速下降。这是一个没有预料到的现象;在此之前的20年(20世纪50年代和60年代),男性的生育率基本保持不变,而女性的生育率则在缓慢下降。新的下降的原因尚不确定,但科学家认为,早期诊断和治疗危及生命的慢性疾病是一个主要因素。如果人们的生存机会提高,特别是在中老年人,那么人口的健康状况会发生什么变化?是否因为从死亡中“拯救”出来的人生病了,而他们留在活着的人群中增加了慢性病的患病率?
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