CROP PRODUCTION FLUCTUATION AND AGRICULTURAL TRANSFORMATION: IMPACTS OF CONSTRUCTING A CLOSURE DAM

Shaizan Khan, Israth Jahan Mousumi, M. Billah
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Abstract

A closure dam was constructed on Little Feni River at Musapur Union, Noakhali District by Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB) in 2016. The study assessed crop production fluctuations between pre and post period of the construction of this dam. Data were collected from Department of Agricultural Extension (DAE), Companiganj Upazila, and BWDB, Noakhali. Besides, an inception meeting was arranged at DAE with different participants for two consecutive days and three focused group discussions (FGD) from almost all stakeholders were done to triangulate the result. The trend was calculated by the data retrieved from 2011 to 2018 for the projection of the study. The result showed a revolutionary increasing trend for Brassica juncea, Arachis hypogaea, and Allium sativum with 1214%, 1400%, and 1600%, respectively. Followed by, the positive trend was showed for Oryza sativa, Cajanus cajan, Pisum sativum, Capsicum annuum, wintry vegetables and Cucumis sativus with 30.97%, 116.41%, 200%, 145.83%, 52%, 475%, respectively. And nearly stable trend was found for Ipomoea batatas, spices and Lathyrus sativus with a positive trend of 4%, negative trend of 7.59% and 8.86%, respectively. The study concluded that construction of closure dam might be greatly influenced in the high production rate of crops in the study area.
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作物生产波动与农业转型:建设截流坝的影响
2016年,孟加拉国水资源发展局(BWDB)在Noakhali地区Musapur Union的小芬尼河上建造了一座封闭水坝。研究评估了三峡大坝建设前后的作物产量波动情况。数据来自Upazila公司农业推广部(DAE)和Noakhali BWDB。此外,在DAE安排了连续两天的启动会议,由不同的参与者参加,并进行了三次来自几乎所有利益相关者的焦点小组讨论(FGD),以对结果进行三角分析。这一趋势是根据2011年至2018年的数据计算出来的,用于研究的预测。结果表明,芥菜、花生和葱分别以1214%、1400%和1600%的速度呈现革命性增长趋势。其次是水稻、油菜、油菜、辣椒、冬季蔬菜和黄瓜,分别为30.97%、116.41%、200%、145.83%、52%和475%,呈上升趋势。山茱萸、香料和山茱萸的阳性趋势为4%,阴性趋势为7.59%和8.86%,呈稳定趋势。研究认为,合闸坝的建设可能对研究区农作物高产有较大影响。
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4.20
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