Risk reduction in fisheries management

Susan Peterson , Leah J. Smith
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引用次数: 21

Abstract

A crucial issue in fisheries management is the extent to which management strategy should be designed to reduce risk: risk of depleting the resource and risk of business failure for the fishermen and processors. Fishery management requires that data be assimilated from a wide variety of sources into a coherent scheme for allocating fish. Many sources of risk, which can be measured as the probability of an event's occurrence, affect the objectives and outcomes of fishery management strategies. Fishery management decisions are also made in the face of uncertainty, some of which cannot be alleviated by additional information. Four general sources of risk are considered here: the resource and its changing environment; scientific research; markets for the products and factors of production; and management measures. The complexity of fishery management is illustrated through descriptions of interconnected sources of risk, and recommendations for dealing with risk and uncertainty are suggested.

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减少渔业管理风险
渔业管理的一个关键问题是管理战略的设计应在何种程度上减少风险:资源枯竭的风险和渔民和加工者业务失败的风险。渔业管理要求将各种来源的数据纳入分配鱼类的连贯方案。许多风险源可以用事件发生的概率来衡量,它们影响渔业管理战略的目标和结果。渔业管理决策也是在面对不确定性的情况下作出的,其中一些不确定性不能通过额外的信息来缓解。这里考虑了四种一般的风险来源:资源及其变化的环境;科学研究;产品和生产要素的市场;以及管理措施。通过对相互关联的风险来源的描述说明了渔业管理的复杂性,并提出了处理风险和不确定性的建议。
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