Trend analysis of Covid-19 cases in Indian subcontinent: Prediction comparison and psycho-social interventions

Abstract

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) which started in December, last year has claimed thousands of life around the world. Utilizing the existing COVID-19 database, this article attempted to compare the status of infection cases and death of the four significantly affected nations of Indian subcontinent (ISC): Bangladesh, India, Maldives and Pakistan with the top 4 affected nations of the world, today. This article is also an attempt to conduct a trend analysis to predict the upcoming cases in exclusively the ISC countries. The results suggest that Pakistan and India should be well prepared in the coming one month. Finally, the needs of psychosocial support and the psychotherapeutic interventions were elucidated to help preserve the mental health of the people in this hour of crisis.