MICROCREDIT COVERAGE IN MALAYSIAN MACROECONOMIC CONTEXT: AN EVIDENCE USING PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

T. Selvaraj, Zulkefly Abdul Karim, Aisyah Abdul-Rahman, N. Chamhuri
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Abstract

This paper aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic condition on microcredit coverage in Malaysia. The Microcredit Organizations (MO) was established to complement the mainstream financial institutions but challenges remain with microcredit performances associated with microcredit coverage. The paper accordingly investigates the effects of macroeconomic condition on microcredit coverage in the Malaysian context. To achieve the objective, the static panel data technique is adopted, which comprises 13 states and three Federal Territories in the country, spanning 2011 to 2015. The findings reveal  the resiliency of MO towards macroeconomic conditions in Malaysia. The increase in the inflation rate and agriculture GDP (LNAGDP) share shows significant negative and positive effects (non-resilient) on microcredit coverage. The main findings will assist in addressing the newly identified macroeconomic condition to improve on micro credit performance. Policy implications emanating from the study are expected to be relevant to the government, MOs and borrowers. The government accordingly can make important contributions to borrowers by maintaining macroeconomic stability (inflation and LNAGDP share) through appropriate policies in order to achieve good microcredit coverage. MOs may revisit the existing quality regulation (MOs risk weighing loan disbursement) based on the macroeconomic condition which, in turn, can be used in outreaching more microcredit borrowers. Finally, this study may also help to elucidate specific understanding of the government and MO objectives in outreaching microcredit borrowers.   Keywords: microcredit coverage, macroeconomic condition, microcredit organisation, Malaysia
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马来西亚宏观经济背景下的小额信贷覆盖率:使用面板数据分析的证据
本文旨在研究宏观经济条件对马来西亚小额信贷覆盖率的影响。小额信贷组织的成立是为了补充主流金融机构,但与小额信贷覆盖面相关的小额信贷业绩仍然存在挑战。因此,本文研究了宏观经济条件对马来西亚小额信贷覆盖率的影响。为了实现这一目标,采用了静态面板数据技术,其中包括2011年至2015年期间该国的13个州和3个联邦直辖区。调查结果揭示了MO对马来西亚宏观经济状况的弹性。通货膨胀率和农业GDP (LNAGDP)份额的增加对小额信贷覆盖率显示出显著的负面和正面影响(非弹性)。主要研究结果将有助于解决新确定的宏观经济状况,以改善小额信贷业绩。预计这项研究产生的政策影响将与政府、mo和借款人有关。因此,政府可以通过适当的政策维持宏观经济稳定(通货膨胀和低gdp份额),从而为借款人做出重要贡献,以实现良好的小额信贷覆盖。银行可以根据宏观经济条件重新审视现有的质量监管(银行风险衡量贷款发放),这反过来又可以用于向更多小额信贷借款人提供服务。最后,本研究也有助于阐明政府和MO在外展小额信贷借款人目标的具体理解。关键词:小额信贷覆盖,宏观经济状况,小额信贷组织,马来西亚
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