Evaluation of Indonesia's National Energy Policy: A Regional Dilemma in Indonesia through Simulation Approach

Abstract

The target of Indonesia's national primary energy supply in 2025 and 2050 are estimated to be at least 400 MTOE and 1000 MTOE accumulated from a total of 34 Provinces in Indonesia to fill the target. At the same years, target for per capita primary energy utilization of 1.4 TOE and 3.2 TOE and per capita electricity utilization of at least 2,500kWh and 7,000kWh. This study aims to determine the magnitude of the achievement targets of national energy policies from several provinces in Indonesia by taking samples, namely the Nusa Tenggara Timur, West Java, and Central Java Provinces. The quantitative approach for the year 2010 to 2015 data periods of the NTT Province have taken by considering parameters, among others the economic structure, environmental conditions, and specific energy conditions. All data are processed through LEAP assistance. The study results have shown a dilemma in achieving national energy policy targets represented by three sample provinces.