Visibility and Indivisibility in Resource Arrangements

IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q1 LAW Law Probability & Risk Pub Date : 2021-06-20 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3870832
L. Fennell
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Abstract

Projects like highways, bridges, pipelines, and wildlife corridors exhibit indivisibilities — we need the whole thing to have anything of value. Many environmental and social goals have a similar all-or-nothing character: staying above or below a certain critical threshold can make all the difference. This essay focuses on the role of visibility in addressing resource dilemmas that have this structure. I examine how two kinds of visibility can help avoid catastrophic consequences and advance desirable ones. The first involves recognizing when an indivisibility is present — that is, appreciating the vulnerability of resources to thresholds and cliff effects before it is too late. The second involves seeing how individual decisions about resources stack together to generate outcomes. When a resource problem suffers from poor visibility along these dimensions, finding ways to clear the view can improve the prospects for cooperative solutions.
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资源安排中的可见性和不可分割性
像高速公路、桥梁、管道和野生动物走廊这样的项目表现出不可分割性——我们需要整体的东西才有价值。许多环境和社会目标具有类似的全有或全无的特征:保持在某个临界阈值以上或以下会产生重大影响。这篇文章的重点是可见性在解决具有这种结构的资源困境中的作用。我研究了两种可见性是如何帮助避免灾难性后果和促进理想后果的。首先,要认识到不可分割性何时存在——即在为时已晚之前,认识到资源对门槛和悬崖效应的脆弱性。第二种方法是观察单个的资源决策是如何叠加在一起产生结果的。当资源问题在这些维度上的可见性较差时,找到清除视图的方法可以改善合作解决方案的前景。
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来源期刊
Law Probability & Risk
Law Probability & Risk MATHEMATICSSTATISTICS & PROBABILITY&-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
28.60%
发文量
8
期刊介绍: Law, Probability & Risk is a fully refereed journal which publishes papers dealing with topics on the interface of law and probabilistic reasoning. These are interpreted broadly to include aspects relevant to the interpretation of scientific evidence, the assessment of uncertainty and the assessment of risk. The readership includes academic lawyers, mathematicians, statisticians and social scientists with interests in quantitative reasoning. The primary objective of the journal is to cover issues in law, which have a scientific element, with an emphasis on statistical and probabilistic issues and the assessment of risk. Examples of topics which may be covered include communications law, computers and the law, environmental law, law and medicine, regulatory law for science and technology, identification problems (such as DNA but including other materials), sampling issues (drugs, computer pornography, fraud), offender profiling, credit scoring, risk assessment, the role of statistics and probability in drafting legislation, the assessment of competing theories of evidence (possibly with a view to forming an optimal combination of them). In addition, a whole new area is emerging in the application of computers to medicine and other safety-critical areas. New legislation is required to define the responsibility of computer experts who develop software for tackling these safety-critical problems.
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