Individual Variations in Sickness Absence

P. Taylor
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Abstract

Records of personal sickness absence, including all spells of one day's duration or more, have been kept at this refinery for more than 20 years. The distributions of sickness spells and also calendar days of absence have been analysed for single years and also for periods of up to 20 years' continuous service for the 1,350 hourly paid male employees. It is shown that both these measures of sickness absence are distributed among the men in an unequal fashion (negative binomial) rather than at random (Poisson) and thus resemble the distribution of industrial accidents first described almost 50 years ago. This pattern of distribution is not related to occupation or to length of service. Analysis of the distribution of lateness and absenteeism for reasons other than sickness or holidays shows that these also follow this pattern. It is postulated that this could be a principle applicable to all forms of industrial absenteeism as well as to accidents. The personal records of I87 men with continuous service from I946 to 1965 have been studied to investigate the trends in their sickness absence over this 20-year period. In contrast to the well-recognized pattern that in any one period of time young men have more spells of absence than their older fellows, this secular study shows that sickness spells have not decreased with age. This apparent paradox is explicable by the rising national trend in sickness absence and by a high labour turnover in young men with frequent sickness spells.
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疾病缺勤的个体差异
个人疾病缺勤的记录,包括所有一天或更长时间的法术,在这个炼油厂已经保存了20多年。对1 350名按小时计酬的男性雇员的患病期和日历缺勤日的分布情况进行了单年分析,也分析了连续服务长达20年的情况。研究表明,这两种疾病缺勤指标在男性中以不平等的方式分布(负二项),而不是随机分布(泊松),因此类似于近50年前首次描述的工业事故分布。这种分布模式与职业或服务年限无关。对因病或假期以外的原因而迟到和旷工的分布进行的分析表明,这些情况也遵循这种模式。据推测,这一原则可以适用于所有形式的工业旷工和事故。本文对1946年至1965年期间连续服役的I87名男性的个人记录进行了研究,以调查这20年间他们因病缺勤的趋势。在任何一段时间内,年轻人都比老年人有更多的缺勤期,这一公认的模式与此相反,这项长期研究表明,疾病的发作期并没有随着年龄的增长而减少。这种明显的矛盾可以用全国病假率上升的趋势和经常生病的年轻男性的高劳动力流动率来解释。
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