An Information System for Risk-Vulnerability Assessment to Flood

S. Karmakar, S. Simonovic, Angela Peck, J. Black
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引用次数: 74

Abstract

An exhaustive knowledge of flood risk in different spatial locations is essential for developing an effective flood mitigation strategy for a watershed. In the present study, a riskvulnerability analysis to flood is performed. Four components of vulnerability to flood: 1) physical, 2) economic, 3) infrastructure and 4) social; are evaluated individually using a Geographic Information System (GIS) environment. The proposed methodology estimates the impact on infrastructure vulnerability due to inundation of critical facilities, emer gency service stations and bridges. The components of vulnerability are combined to determine an overall vulnerability to flood. The exposures of land use/land cover and soil type (permeability) to flood are also considered to include their effects on severity of flood. The values of probability of occurrence of flood, vulnerability to flood, and exposures of land use and soil type to flood are used to finally compute flood risk at different locations in a watershed. The proposed methodology is implemented for six major damage centers in the Upper Thames River watershed, located in the SouthWestern Ontario, Canada to assess the flood risk. An information system is developed for systematic presentation of the flood risk, probability of occurrence of flood, vulnerability to flood, and exposures of land use and soil type to flood by postal code regions or Forward Sortation Areas (FSAs). The flood information system is designed to provide support for different users, i.e., general public, decisionmakers and water management professionals. An interactive analysis tool is developed within the information system to assist in evaluation of the flood risk in response to a change in land use pattern.
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洪水风险易损性评估信息系统
全面了解不同空间位置的洪水风险对于制定有效的流域洪水减灾战略至关重要。在本研究中,进行了洪水的风险脆弱性分析。洪水脆弱性的四个组成部分:1)物质,2)经济,3)基础设施和4)社会;使用地理信息系统(GIS)环境进行单独评估。拟议的方法估计了关键设施、紧急服务站和桥梁被淹没对基础设施脆弱性的影响。脆弱性的组成部分结合起来确定对洪水的总体脆弱性。土地利用/土地覆盖和土壤类型(渗透性)对洪水的影响也被考虑在内,包括它们对洪水严重程度的影响。利用洪水发生概率、洪水易损性、土地利用和土壤类型对洪水的暴露值,最终计算流域不同位置的洪水风险。所提出的方法在位于加拿大安大略省西南部的上泰晤士河流域的六个主要损害中心实施,以评估洪水风险。本署已发展一套资讯系统,按邮政编码地区或前向分拣区系统介绍洪水风险、发生洪水的可能性、易受洪水影响的程度,以及土地用途和土壤类型可能受洪水影响的程度。洪水信息系统旨在为不同的用户,即公众、决策者和水管理专业人员提供支持。资讯系统内发展了一套互动分析工具,协助因应土地用途模式的改变,评估洪水风险。
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