Volatility Spillovers Among the Three Places Across the Taiwan Strait: Evidence from a BEKK-CARR Approach*

IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI:10.1111/ajfs.12405
Chun Chou Wu, Wen Xu
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Abstract

This study introduces a new BEKK-CARR model to explore the volatility spillover effects among mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic. We also extend the approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2012) to infer a brand-new volatility spillover index to discuss the bi-directional volatility transmission. Our results show that the trading information flow among these three markets has changed significantly as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The strength of volatility spillover is increasing during this momentous period. The Hong Kong stock market plays a pivotal role in volatility transmission. The values for half-lives by exogenous shocks keep relatively low during the pandemic period. A reasonable explanation is that the trading information transmissions among stock markets are quicker than in the non-pandemic period.

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台湾海峡三地波动溢出效应:基于BEKK-CARR方法的证据*
本研究引入新的BEKK-CARR模型,探讨新冠肺炎疫情期间中国大陆、香港和台湾股市的波动溢出效应。我们还扩展了Diebold和Yilmaz(2009、2012)的方法,推导了一个全新的波动溢出指数来讨论波动的双向传导。结果表明,新冠肺炎疫情发生后,这三个市场之间的交易信息流发生了显著变化。在这一重要时期,波动性溢出的强度正在增强。香港股市在波动传导中起着举足轻重的作用。在大流行期间,外源冲击的半衰期值保持相对较低。一个合理的解释是,股市之间的交易信息传递比非疫情时期要快。
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CiteScore
2.60
自引率
20.00%
发文量
36
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