SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEPENDENCE ON THE STATE AND VOTING BEHAVIOUR IN RUSSIA

Zuzanna Brunarska
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Abstract

The paper attempts to determine whether an individual’s socio-economic dependence on the state in Russia translates into a higher propensity to turn out for elections and to vote for the ruling party or its candidate. It also explores the mechanisms employed by the state to mobilise dependent voters based on the case of two contrasting regions: Yaroslavl Oblast and the Republic of Tatarstan. The quantitative analysis carried out based on data coming from the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey of the Higher School of Economics indicates a positive association between socio-economic dependence on the state and turnout in regard to sector and formal nature of employment, pensioner status and rural residence. At the same time, the results do not provide sufficient evidence to state that dependence on the state in these spheres makes people more likely to cast their votes for the ruling elites (with rural residence constituting an exception).
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俄罗斯社会经济对国家的依赖和投票行为
本文试图确定,在俄罗斯,个人对国家的社会经济依赖是否会转化为更高的参加选举和投票给执政党或其候选人的倾向。本文还以雅罗斯拉夫州和鞑靼斯坦共和国这两个截然不同的地区为例,探讨了国家动员依赖选民的机制。根据俄罗斯高等经济学院纵向监测调查的数据进行的定量分析表明,在就业部门和正式性质、领取养老金者身份和农村居住方面,对国家的社会经济依赖与投票率之间存在正相关关系。与此同时,研究结果并没有提供足够的证据来说明,在这些领域对国家的依赖使人们更有可能把选票投给统治精英(农村居民除外)。
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