Risk Assessment Approaches During the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic

R. Kumar, R. Karthikeyan, Vinod Rajendran, D. K. Sinha, B. Singh, K. Dhama, Y. Malik
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Abstract

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has rapidly spread all over the world affecting more than 20 million people. Early planning and preparedness are vital in mitigation of the impact of the ongoing pandemic. The lessons from previous public health emergencies of the 21st century such as Influenza A (H1N1), Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), and Ebola elucidate that the risks assessment associated with disease outbreaks remains integral for the successful response curbing health disasters. Every pandemic or public health emergency poses new challenges. Alike, the SARS-CoV-2 which causes COVID-19 will continue to challenge public health systems and their ability to effectively communicate with the public. Till date, no vaccines and specific antiviral drugs are available moreover there is little evidence on the effectiveness of potential therapeutic agents. Many countries have practiced 'stay-at-home', social distancing, avoided mass gathering, closure of education in institutions, strict public health measures like compulsory wearing of masks, entertainment and public spaces. For effective prevention and control of any infectious diseases the risk assessment and communication are of prime importance. Hence, there is an urgent need to commence SARS-CoV-2 risk assessment for assisting decision-making bodies working on SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. This paper discusses in brief about the rapid risk assessment and diagnostic approaches for COVID-19 pandemic.
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新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)大流行期间的风险评估方法
冠状病毒病(COVID-19)在全球迅速蔓延,影响了2000多万人。早期规划和防备对于减轻当前大流行病的影响至关重要。从甲型流感(H1N1)、严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)、中东呼吸综合征(MERS)和埃博拉等21世纪以前的突发公共卫生事件中吸取的教训表明,与疾病暴发相关的风险评估仍然是遏制卫生灾害成功应对措施的组成部分。每次大流行或突发公共卫生事件都会带来新的挑战。同样,导致COVID-19的SARS-CoV-2将继续挑战公共卫生系统及其与公众有效沟通的能力。迄今为止,没有疫苗和特定的抗病毒药物可用,而且关于潜在治疗剂有效性的证据也很少。许多国家实行了“居家隔离”、保持社会距离、避免大规模聚集、关闭教育机构、强制佩戴口罩等严格的公共卫生措施、娱乐和公共场所。为了有效预防和控制任何传染病,风险评估和沟通是至关重要的。因此,迫切需要开展SARS-CoV-2风险评估,以协助从事SARS-CoV-2大流行工作的决策机构。本文简要讨论了新冠肺炎大流行的快速风险评估和诊断方法。
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