IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON THE ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF TOURISM IN CENTRAL, EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE (CESEE) COUNTRIES

Tanja Stanišić, M. Lekovič, Sonja Milutinović
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Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has brought numerous challenges and limitations globally. Countries around the world are facing the negative socio-economic consequences of the global health crisis. As the tourism sector is one of the most important sectors of the global economy and also one of the sectors hardest hit by the crisis, the consequences of the negative impact of this crisis in tourism are very wide. The subject of this paper is to investigate the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economic effects of tourism in Central, Eastern and Southern European (CESEE) countries. The aim of this paper is to analyse the homogeneity, i.e. heterogeneity of the analysed countries in terms of the negative impacts of the crisis on the economic effects of tourism through the analysis of the reduction of the contribution of tourism to key macroeconomic indicators under the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic. By applying cross-country comparison and cluster analysis, it was concluded that CESEE countries are not homogeneous in this sense, as well as that countries in which the importance of tourism for the national economy is greater are more severely affected by the crisis.
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COVID-19大流行对中欧、东欧和东南欧国家旅游业经济影响的影响
新冠肺炎疫情给全球带来诸多挑战和限制。世界各国正面临全球卫生危机的负面社会经济后果。由于旅游业是全球经济中最重要的部门之一,也是受危机打击最严重的部门之一,这次危机对旅游业的负面影响后果非常广泛。本文的主题是调查Covid-19大流行对中欧、东欧和南欧(CESEE)国家旅游业经济影响的影响。本文的目的是通过分析在Covid-19大流行的影响下旅游业对关键宏观经济指标的贡献减少,分析所分析国家在危机对旅游业经济影响的负面影响方面的同质性,即异质性。通过跨国比较和聚类分析得出结论,CESEE国家在这个意义上不是同质的,旅游业对国民经济的重要性越大的国家受危机的影响就越严重。
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