Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Indonesia

Esti Pasaribu, Retno Agustina Ekaputri, Yefriza Yefriza
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Abstract

This research investigated the effectiveness of the monetary policy in Indonesia. A cumulative summary test was used to determine the response of economic growth to monetary policy between 1990-2020. Furthermore, the data on gross national income, money supply, inflation, exchange rate, and interest rate was processed using error correction model regression. The results showed that monetary policy improved economic growth through channels of inflation and money supply, and the correlation was strong and valid both in the short and long term. The correlation of exchange rate and interest rate to economic growth was also observed to be significant only in the long term. The four variables had a significant, simultaneous effect on Indonesia's GDP. Therefore, the government needs to pay special attention to the enactment of monetary policy.
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印尼货币政策的有效性
本研究考察了印尼货币政策的有效性。使用累积汇总检验来确定1990-2020年间经济增长对货币政策的反应。此外,对国民总收入、货币供应量、通货膨胀率、汇率和利率数据采用误差修正模型回归进行处理。结果表明,货币政策通过通货膨胀和货币供给两个渠道促进经济增长,且短期和长期的相关性都很强。汇率和利率与经济增长的相关性也被观察到只有在长期内才显着。这四个变量对印尼的GDP有显著的、同步的影响。因此,政府需要特别注意货币政策的制定。
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