Forest fire in Thailand: Spatio-temporal distribution and future risk assessment

Nazimur Rahman Talukdar , Firoz Ahmad , Laxmi Goparaju , Parthankar Choudhury , Abdul Qayum , Javed Rizvi
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Abstract

Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of forest fires and future predictions is very important for management strategies. To identify the present status of forest fires in the Kingdom of Thailand and their risk in the future, ten-year forest fire data were used, and a forest fire hotspot was prepared. A geospatial technique was used in the study to characterize the parameters of forest fires in the country and identify future forest fire risk areas. Most of the forest fires in the country were found to be seasonal. Deciduous forests in higher elevations and on moderate slopes were most vulnerable to forest fire. The level of aridity, soil moisture, temperature, precipitation, vegetation status, and topography influenced the spatiotemporal distribution of forest fires in the country. Greater than 50% of fire risks were observed in 22 administrative divisions, and 17 of the 209 protected areas are also in the high-risk category. The final forest fire hotspot map can be used in policy development and successful management strategies. A better monitoring strategy should be used in the fire hotspot areas as a precautionary measure to minimize the anthropogenic causes of forest fires.

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泰国的森林火灾:时空分布与未来风险评估
了解森林火灾的时空分布和未来预测对管理策略非常重要。为了确定泰王国森林火灾的现状及其未来的风险,我们使用了十年的森林火灾数据,并编制了森林火灾热点。研究中使用了地理空间技术来描述该国森林火灾的参数特征,并确定未来的森林火灾风险区域。研究发现,该国大多数森林火灾都是季节性的。海拔较高和坡度适中的落叶林最容易遭受森林火灾。干旱程度、土壤湿度、温度、降水量、植被状况和地形都影响着该国森林火灾的时空分布。在 22 个行政区划中,火险率超过 50%,209 个保护区中有 17 个也属于高风险类别。最终绘制的森林火灾热点地图可用于制定政策和成功的管理战略。作为预防措施,应在火灾热点地区采用更好的监测战略,以最大限度地减少森林火灾的人为原因。
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