Rise of the strategy machines

IF 4 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Mit Sloan Management Review Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI:10.7551/mitpress/11645.003.0005
T. Davenport
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

Just as contemporary autonomous vehicles can take the wheel under certain conditions, well see situations in which strategic decision making can be automated. Other situations, however, will require that a human strategist take the wheel and change direction. Big-picture thinking is one capability at which humans are still better than computers and will continue to be for some time. Machines are not very good at piecing together a big picture in the first place, or at noticing when the landscape has changed in some fundamental way. Good human strategists do this every day. In a world of smart, strategic machines, humans need to excel at big-picture thinking in order to decide, for example, when automation is appropriate for a decision; what roles machines and people will play, respectively; and when an automated strategy approach their organization has implemented no longer makes sense. There is a level of sense-making that only a human strategist is capable of at least for now. Its a skill that will be more prized than ever.
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战略机器的崛起
就像现代自动驾驶汽车可以在特定条件下驾驶一样,我们也将看到战略决策可以自动化的情况。然而,在其他情况下,将需要一个人类战略家来掌舵并改变方向。大局观思维是人类仍然优于计算机的一种能力,并将在一段时间内继续如此。首先,机器并不擅长拼凑一幅大图,也不擅长注意到环境何时发生了一些根本性的变化。优秀的人类战略家每天都这样做。在一个由智能、有策略的机器组成的世界里,人类需要擅长大局思考,以便做出决定,例如,何时自动化适合做出决定;机器和人将分别扮演什么角色;当他们的组织实施了自动化的策略方法时,就不再有意义了。在一定程度上,只有人类战略家才能做到这一点,至少目前是这样。这一技能将比以往任何时候都更受重视。
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CiteScore
3.30
自引率
2.40%
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